The panelists will cover a number of areas regarding polling and the U.S. Election, including the following: - How the evidence explains what actually happened in this US election;- How criticisms of US pre-election polls have raised questions about the viability of public opinion research;- How to evaluate the impact of the 2020 election polls for all forms of opinion research.
With only a few weeks to go before the U.S. presidential election, Americans are facing the potential for a long and protracted period of uncertainty about the outcome. Will Donald Trump be elected for four more years or will the American voters make a change and elect Joe Biden? In this webinar, North American and International pollsters will share their views on where the race stands, what seem to be the central issues, and how - and when - it's all likely to end.Voter Priorities, Battleground States, and Other Assorted Things to Keep Your Eye On The 2020 US Presidential Electionby Clifford Young, President, Public Affairs, Ipsos USAPollsters confront new challenges in every election, but perhaps never as many as they do in 2020. This presentation summarizes those challenges, with new data and warnings for analysts.Who gets the ballot box bonus?by Jean-Marc Leger, President, Leger Market Research and AnalyticsIt will all come down to voter enthusiasm. Assessing voter turnout is a key factor in allowing polls to be close to the election's results, especially in battleground states. Jean-Marc Leger will present his innovative techniques to better evaluate voter turnout and improve the accuracy of election polling.Identifying Voters and Reporting the Votes Before, On, and Even After Election DayBy Joe Lenski, Co-founder and Executive Vice President, Edison ResearchThe election isn't over until we know the winner. This year increases in vote by mail, the coronavirus pandemic and campaign attacks on the process may make reporting the results more difficult than ever. What tools- old and new- are being used to know the voting outcome? From The Red Wall To The Rust Belt - How Forgotten Communities In The UK and The US Flexed Their Political MuscleBy Deborah Mattinson, Founding Partner, BritainThinks.A view from across the pond; the lessons Americans can learn from recent British elections.
We are now less than 100 days before U.S. voters go to the polls to decide whether to stick with Donald Trump for four more years or make a change and elect Joe Biden. In this webinar, five North American pollsters will share their views on where the race stands, what seems to be the central issues, and how it's all likely to turn out.
Setting toll charges involves one of the most important rights of the free citizen in a democratic regime: the freedom to come and go. This paper proposes a model for toll pricing which would maximize satisfaction of the many user types, as well as providing price elasticity and trade-off data across the highways. The study also links static and dynamic models. One of the major issues presented in maximizing the quality of services provided by highway licensees today is the additional flow of vehicles, which, in turn, reduces the perception of quality. The use of this dynamic simulation technique will allow for the analysis of many possible scenarios of long-term balance, including the introduction of macro-economic variables.
Setting toll charges involves one of the most important rights of the free citizen in a democratic regime: the freedom to come and go. This paper proposes a model for toll pricing which would maximize satisfaction of the many user types, as well as providing price elasticity and trade-off data across the highways. The study also links static and dynamic models. One of the major issues presented in maximizing the quality of services provided by highway licensees today is the additional flow of vehicles, which, in turn, reduces the perception of quality. The use of this dynamic simulation technique will allow for the analysis of many possible scenarios of long-term balance, including the introduction of macro-economic variables.