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Research papers

Are we getting worse at political polling?

The accuracy of polling has been under the serious spotlight over the last couple of years. This paper is a summary of analysis conducted on an international database of 31310 polls from 473 elections and voting events across 40 countries around the...

Catalogue: Congress 2017: Visionary
Author: Jon Puleston
Company: Kantar
September 3, 2017

Research papers

The case of Russia

This paper is based on research conducted in Russia during its transition to a more liberal economic and political system. The data cited are taken from VCIOM nationwide surveys and polls conducted in 1989-1997. Russia shares most common features of...

Catalogue: New Monograph Series Vol.8: International Marketing Research
Authors: Yuri Levada, Alexey Levinson
September 1, 1999

Research papers

The case of Russia

This paper is based on research conducted in Russia during its transition to a more liberal economic and political system. The data cited are taken from VCIOM nationwide surveys and polls conducted in 1989-1997. Russia shares most common features of...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1997: Learning From The Future
Authors: Yuri Levada, Alexey Levinson
September 1, 1997

Research papers

The use of the Internet for opinion polls

The paper examines current and future Internet usage in Europe. It discusses how the Internet is beginning to be used for data collection in market research and its benefits over other methods. More specifically it shows the results of Internet...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1997: Learning From The Future
Author: Pete Comley
September 1, 1997

Research papers

The Irish constitutional referendum 1986

This paper outlines the role and impact of opinion polls during the two years preceding the recent Irish Constitutional Referendum on divorce, and also in the final stages of the actual campaign. In doing so, it emphasises the relevance of...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Opinion Polls
Author: Jack Jones
June 15, 1986

Research papers

Sweden

The Swedish election 1985 produced a surprisingly strong finish for the small Liberal party in Sweden - 14,50% compared to 5,90% in the previous electron in 1982. The polls had kept the party in the 5 to 7% range until the weeks before the election...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Opinion Polls
Authors: Hans L. Zetterberg, Gunnar Andren
June 15, 1986

Research papers

The democracy of opinion polls

I would like to suggest that the polling industry should not agonise too much about getting elections wrong. Error may be good for you; an occasional disaster can be good for the industry and good for the public. If polls were to have too long a run...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Opinion Polls
Author: David Butler
June 15, 1986

Research papers

The don't know voters

The paper presents a model for investigating the don't know phenomenon in the elections. The model distinguishes four different types of don't know voters according to the way people are stopped or remain stopped in the elections. The testing of the...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Opinion Polls
Author: Paula Hirstiö-Snellman
Company: Gallup International Association
June 15, 1986

Research papers

The effects of rural component on opinion polls

Past studies have attempted the effect of various factors on the accuracy of opinion polls. In the area of pre-election poll alone researchers have studied the effects of question order (Crespi and Morris, 1984), late trend in voter preference (Day...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Opinion Polls
Author: J. Rajaretnam
Company: IMRB International
June 15, 1986